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Article #16: Greed can cost you your shirt!

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d can cost you your shirt! security. That was, using the buildings
profits after paying all of his loan
The proper action when things are going payments to buy and remodel more
well is to pay off debt and consolidate buildings. Nick just couldn't wait and
your position. Then you will be consolidate his position. He had every
financially strong and can go for further building he owned loaned up to the
expansion without fear of loosing what maximum value that he was able to. The
gains you already have. When you are not rents were more than enough to cover the
deep in debt you do not have to worry payments on each individual building. So
about your creditors getting paid. Since what happened?
the usual history of a business is cyclic Two things. The first was his greed. We
(boom and then every 7 years (plus or entered the 1991 recession, and the price
minus) bust) you can predict when it is of buildings went down. The banks were
time to consolidate. starting to foreclose on buildings and
When the prices are "too good to be true, put them back on the market for very
they are." In the two years just before cheap prices. Nick just couldn't let a
the top of the market is reached, prices deal pass him by. He bought 3 of them. He
are going up at very incredible rate. I borrowed the last dime he could squeeze
have seen real estate go up 25%, per out of every building he owned to buy
year, right at the top. This is these buildings, thinking that he could
incredible and I guarantee you it cannot do no wrong. One bank made him the deal
sustain itself, at that rate. As hard as of a century. They wanted a lot of money
it is to give up a profit, it is harder down but the price "was just too good to
still to sell an investment when it is be true."
going straight up. But, understand this Nick was so much in a hurry to get his
is when you need to sell. If that is not hands on this great deal he didn't bother
what you want to do then you need to go to do his normal structural inspections
to plan B: pay off your debt and get and research. After all, Nick owned 17
ready for the market drop. buildings in Hollywood by now and knew
If you are debt free you can survive the the market better than anyone else, he
drop and then be solvent and financially thought. He looked at the building and
secure when the recovery comes. I would saw it was only 20 years old. The
like to tell you a story of the largest building was empty, which meant it
apartment owner in Hollywood. brought in no income. That didn't bother
It was 1980 when I met Nick. He owned 11 Nick, he would just get it rented quickly
buildings at that time. He bought the and the building would support itself.
worse buildings in town. These had the What Nick hadn't noticed was that the
best cash flow. He owned mostly brick foundation was damaged and a $100,000
buildings. This was because they cost repair was needed. This was a repair that
less money than stucco and wood Nick couldn't afford. I begged Nick to
buildings. This lower price allowed Nick walk away from this building and let the
to generate higher profits. Nick would bank have it back. He refused and
buy a building. He then did a market squeezed more money out of his collection
study, and figured out what size of buildings.
apartments and what numbers of bedrooms As you can imagine, Nick was loaned to
were generating the highest rent, per the hilt and had no money set-aside for
square foot. Then he remodeled his an emergency. At his peak he owned 17
building to get the highest price per buildings worth $45,000,000 with him
square foot he could. He spent over estimating his net worth at $7,500,000.
$100,000 per building to do this. He also He was definitely worth a lot of money.
had to earthquake proof all of his That was for sure. Before we get jealous
buildings. of him, lets look at these numbers a
One of the reasons that brick buildings different way. If Nick was worth
sold so cheaply was that they needed to $7,500,000 then his real estate loans had
be earthquake reinforced. When Nick to be the difference. That is
finished remodeling a building, it was $37,500,000. These were sure big numbers.
producing a very nice cash flow. Nick Let's look at these numbers in terms of
would use that cash flow to buy and their percentages. This $37,500,000 was
remodel the next building. This was very 83.3% of $45,000,000. $45,000,000 had to
smart thinking. Where did Nick fall off be the retail value of all these
the rails? First he would find a great buildings. Nick would not think in terms
deal, while he was still in the middle of of selling them. He never sold a
a remodeling job. He just couldn't pass building. He only bought, and bought, and
it by. He borrowed on one of his finished bought. What Nick saw was the potential.
buildings to get the down payment to buy If property values went up only 10%,
the building. Nick's net worth would go up $4.5 M.
Then he would borrow on a second building Property values had gone up over 20% in
to get the money to remodel the new the 1980's but the recession that had
building. Now he was remodeling two started was of no concern to him. It is
buildings at the same time. By borrowing clear that he had stretched himself to
on two of his successful buildings, he the limit. The last building the bank
now had to pay the loan payments on the sold him put him in trouble. He might
two new loans. The rents from the older have even survived it if he sold one, two
buildings now went to the lenders instead or maybe three buildings. No, Nick
of to Nick's remodeling project. The new wouldn't do that.
building, just bought, didn't produce One year later the recession was not
enough income to cover the new loan on it over. Unemployment in California went up
because half the building was empty due and up. Businesses were closing,
to the remodeling. Nick now needed to President Reagan was closing down
keep borrowing money to fix the buildings Aerospace, and workman compensation
and pay the loan payments on the insurance was so high no one could stay
buildings that didn't generate enough in business. Vacancies in apartments were
income. When a building was completed it going from 1% to 5% to 10%. Then it
then supported itself very nicely. happened, we had the LA riots. Hollywood
Was Nick happy with that? No, he wanted became a ghost town and then it happened
more and more buildings. If at any time again, the earthquake of 1994. Brick
Nick had stopped borrowing to buy new buildings fell down on Hollywood Blvd,
buildings, and just finished all his none of Nick's buildings. People moved
buildings in remodeling, he would have away and vacancies rose in Hollywood too
been able to catch up with himself and as much as 17%.
started expansion from a new level of






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