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Article #56: Greed can cost you your shirt!

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The proper action when things are going profits after paying all of his loan
well is to pay off debt and consolidate payments to buy and remodel more
your position. Then you will be buildings. Nick just couldn't wait and
financially strong and can go for further consolidate his position. He had every
expansion without fear of loosing what building he owned loaned up to the
gains you already have. When you are not maximum value that he was able to. The
deep in debt you do not have to worry rents were more than enough to cover the
about your creditors getting paid. Since payments on each individual building. So
the usual history of a business is cyclic what happened?
(boom and then every 7 years (plus or Two things. The first was his greed. We
minus) bust) you can predict when it is entered the 1991 recession, and the price
time to consolidate. of buildings went down. The banks were
When the prices are "too good to be true, starting to foreclose on buildings and
they are." In the two years just before put them back on the market for very
the top of the market is reached, prices cheap prices. Nick just couldn't let a
are going up at very incredible rate. I deal pass him by. He bought 3 of them. He
have seen real estate go up 25%, per borrowed the last dime he could squeeze
year, right at the top. This is out of every building he owned to buy
incredible and I guarantee you it cannot these buildings, thinking that he could
sustain itself, at that rate. As hard as do no wrong. One bank made him the deal
it is to give up a profit, it is harder of a century. They wanted a lot of money
still to sell an investment when it is down but the price "was just too good to
going straight up. But, understand this be true."
is when you need to sell. If that is not Nick was so much in a hurry to get his
what you want to do then you need to go hands on this great deal he didn't bother
to plan B: pay off your debt and get to do his normal structural inspections
ready for the market drop. and research. After all, Nick owned 17
If you are debt free you can survive the buildings in Hollywood by now and knew
drop and then be solvent and financially the market better than anyone else, he
secure when the recovery comes. I would thought. He looked at the building and
like to tell you a story of the largest saw it was only 20 years old. The
apartment owner in Hollywood. building was empty, which meant it
It was 1980 when I met Nick. He owned 11 brought in no income. That didn't bother
buildings at that time. He bought the Nick, he would just get it rented quickly
worse buildings in town. These had the and the building would support itself.
best cash flow. He owned mostly brick What Nick hadn't noticed was that the
buildings. This was because they cost foundation was damaged and a $100,000
less money than stucco and wood repair was needed. This was a repair that
buildings. This lower price allowed Nick Nick couldn't afford. I begged Nick to
to generate higher profits. Nick would walk away from this building and let the
buy a building. He then did a market bank have it back. He refused and
study, and figured out what size squeezed more money out of his collection
apartments and what numbers of bedrooms of buildings.
were generating the highest rent, per As you can imagine, Nick was loaned to
square foot. Then he remodeled his the hilt and had no money set-aside for
building to get the highest price per an emergency. At his peak he owned 17
square foot he could. He spent over buildings worth $45,000,000 with him
$100,000 per building to do this. He also estimating his net worth at $7,500,000.
had to earthquake proof all of his He was definitely worth a lot of money.
buildings. That was for sure. Before we get jealous
One of the reasons that brick buildings of him, lets look at these numbers a
sold so cheaply was that they needed to different way. If Nick was worth
be earthquake reinforced. When Nick $7,500,000 then his real estate loans had
finished remodeling a building, it was to be the difference. That is
producing a very nice cash flow. Nick $37,500,000. These were sure big numbers.
would use that cash flow to buy and Let's look at these numbers in terms of
remodel the next building. This was very their percentages. This $37,500,000 was
smart thinking. Where did Nick fall off 83.3% of $45,000,000. $45,000,000 had to
the rails? First he would find a great be the retail value of all these
deal, while he was still in the middle of buildings. Nick would not think in terms
a remodeling job. He just couldn't pass of selling them. He never sold a
it by. He borrowed on one of his finished building. He only bought, and bought, and
buildings to get the down payment to buy bought. What Nick saw was the potential.
the building. If property values went up only 10%,
Then he would borrow on a second building Nick's net worth would go up $4.5 M.
to get the money to remodel the new Property values had gone up over 20% in
building. Now he was remodeling two the 1980's but the recession that had
buildings at the same time. By borrowing started was of no concern to him. It is
on two of his successful buildings, he clear that he had stretched himself to
now had to pay the loan payments on the the limit. The last building the bank
two new loans. The rents from the older sold him put him in trouble. He might
buildings now went to the lenders instead have even survived it if he sold one, two
of to Nick's remodeling project. The new or maybe three buildings. No, Nick
building, just bought, didn't produce wouldn't do that.
enough income to cover the new loan on it One year later the recession was not
because half the building was empty due over. Unemployment in California went up
to the remodeling. Nick now needed to and up. Businesses were closing,
keep borrowing money to fix the buildings President Reagan was closing down
and pay the loan payments on the Aerospace, and workman compensation
buildings that didn't generate enough insurance was so high no one could stay
income. When a building was completed it in business. Vacancies in apartments were
then supported itself very nicely. going from 1% to 5% to 10%. Then it
Was Nick happy with that? No, he wanted happened, we had the LA riots. Hollywood
more and more buildings. If at any time became a ghost town and then it happened
Nick had stopped borrowing to buy new again, the earthquake of 1994. Brick
buildings, and just finished all his buildings fell down on Hollywood Blvd,
buildings in remodeling, he would have none of Nick's buildings. People moved
been able to catch up with himself and away and vacancies rose in Hollywood too
started expansion from a new level of as much as 17%.
security. That was, using the buildings






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